June 25 – August 4, 2026

The main result of the campaign was the relocation of hostilities deep into russia’s rear areas. Strikes by UAVs and naval drones disrupted the enemy’s fuel sector, export logistics, and military infrastructure. The Office of the President of Ukraine stated that the pressure would continue without a fixed deadline, until a ceasefire is achieved on Kyiv’s terms.

Facts and Figures from the 40-Day Operation

1. Energy and Fuel Collapse

Refinery destruction: 33% of russia’s actual and 45% of its nominal oil-refining capacity was taken offline. Facilities from Krasnodar Krai to Omsk, up to 2,500 km from the Ukrainian border, were hit.

Export embargo: Due to fuel shortages, the russian government extended a complete ban on gasoline and diesel exports until January 31, 2027. russia has begun large-scale fuel imports.

Blackout in occupied Crimea: The peninsula’s energy system has been destabilized. Rolling blackouts affecting electricity, water, and mobile communications were recorded following strikes on substations.

2. Blockade of the Black and Azov Seas

“Molochka” campaign: Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces struck 172 russian vessels. They included “shadow fleet” tankers, bulk carriers transporting stolen grain, and military boats.

Declining exports: Russian wheat exports fell by 18% in July. Port infrastructure in Novorossiysk and Taman was partially paralyzed.

3. Strikes on Civilian and Military Logistics

Wildberries attack: Drones attacked more than 20 major marketplace hubs. An estimated 17–22% of the company’s total warehouse space was destroyed.

Losses: The retailer’s financial losses are estimated at 215–280 billion rubles, causing major logistical disruption in russia’s civilian sector.

Defense industry and air defense: Defense enterprises, including the Kupol plant in Izhevsk, were hit. Dozens of S-400 systems and scarce Nebo-U and 92N6E radar systems were destroyed.

Strategic Result

The 40-day campaign demonstrated Ukraine’s ability to extend the battlefield deep into russian territory and systematically target the infrastructure supporting russia’s war effort.

The strikes affected three interconnected areas: fuel and energy, maritime logistics, and military-industrial infrastructure.

The cumulative effect is more significant than the destruction of individual facilities. Disruptions to fuel production and distribution affect military logistics and the civilian economy simultaneously. Pressure on ports and shipping undermines export revenues and maritime logistics, while strikes on defense enterprises and air-defense systems reduce russia’s ability to protect critical infrastructure and sustain military production.

The campaign therefore represents a shift from isolated strikes toward a broader strategy of sustained pressure on the economic and logistical foundations of russia’s war machine.

The objective is not simply to destroy individual targets, but to increase the cost of continuing the war until russia is forced toward a sustainable peace.